NOAA still predicting active 2025 Atlantic hurricane season – Newsday

📅 Published: August 16, 2025

📰 Source: newsday_com

Curated by AllZimNews.com

Of those, five to nine could turn into hurricanes (with sustained winds of 74 mph or more) and two to five of them into major hurricanes (111 mph sustained winds or higher). “The likelihood of above-normal activity is 50%, a 35% chance of a near-normal season, and a 15% chance of a below-normal season,” the prediction said.

The updated prediction is similar towhat the agency issued in May.

The Atlantic hurricane season, from June 1 through Nov. 30, generally has 14 named storms, seven of which turn into hurricanes and three into major hurricanes.

So far, there have been four named tropical storms.

The agency’s report has no direct takeaway for Long Island and New York City, but increased activity boosts the chances of a storm, or storms, making landfall, according to National Weather Service meteorologist David Wally. “If you have more storms, obviously, there’s going to be an increased probability that somebody gets impacted somewhere,” he said.

Still, he noted, there have been active seasons in which many storms have not made landfall.

He urges people to learn now whether they live in an evacuation zone — a low-lying area that is susceptible to storm surge and flooding — before a bad storm and to have a plan for where to go.

In a weather emergency, the authorities might order evacuations of certain zones.

On Long Island, most zones are south of Sunrise Highway, although other areas are flood-prone.

In Suffolk County, the zones aremapped here; in Nassau,maps are here;  and in New York City, the zones aremapped here.

Recent tropical stormsthat passed over Long Island or New York City include Hanna in 2008, which moved over the Island; Irene in 2011, which moved over the city; and Elsa in 2021, which passed over the South Fork, according to National Weather Service meteorologist Brian Ciemnecki.

Theremnants of Hurricane Idain September 2021 left more than 13,200 Long Islanders without power and the Long Island Rail Road suspended service, Newsday reported.