Recently, the relationship between U.S. President Donald Trump and South African President Cyril Ramaphosa is on decline. Experts note that some of the President’s decisions may impact South Africa’s standing on the international scene.
Within this context, we should pay attention to the recent speech given by South Africa’s Ambassador to the USA, Ebrahim Rasool, during a webinar organized by the MISTRA research institute in Johannesburg.
In his speech, he made statements about the “instinct of supremacy” in Trump’s administration and claimed that “white people in the USA will soon stop being the majority.” Rasool also expressed views on Elon Musk and his collaboration with far-right figures in Europe, describing it as a “warning signal.”
In response to these remarks, U.S. Secretary of State, Marco Rubio, accused Rasool of reflecting racist views and dissatisfaction with American policy. As a result, Rasool was declared persona non grata and left the country.
Our complicated relations with the USA may get even more complicated with the appointment of Leo Brent Bozell III as the new U.S.
Ambassador to South Africa. The politician is known for his critical stance towards President Ramaphosa.
Experts believe that South Africa could strike a “significant deal” with the United States, but serious economic and political obstacles stand in the way.
One key risk is a possible meeting between Cyril Ramaphosa and Volodymyr Zelensky. After his conflict with Trump and an unsuccessful visit to the U.S., the Ukrainian leader has become a divisive figure in Washington’s establishment.
If the talks take place, the U.S. may reconsider its agreements. Postponing them seems more reasonable—South Africa has no strategic interests in Ukraine.
The main issue is South Africa’s status under AGOA.
The country is the program’s largest beneficiary, enjoying duty-free access to the U.S. market, but Congress is already discussing the possibility of revoking these privileges. Washington is willing to offer new terms, but on its own conditions.
For South Africa, this is an opportunity to maintain exports and strengthen its position in the U.S. economy. Two-thirds of its agricultural exports enter duty-free, which is particularly beneficial for citrus, wine, and juice producers.
To preserve AGOA benefits and secure the best possible terms in a new deal, South Africa must consider not only economic factors but also political realities.
Otherwise, the window of opportunity may close.
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