Africa’s economic resilience holds firm amid global headwinds, says new AfDB report

Despite ongoing regional and global headwinds, Africa continues to demonstrate impressive resilience and maintains its status as a global growth frontier. This is the headline finding of the2026 Africa Macroeconomic Performance and Outlook (MEO)report, released by the African Development Bank Group on Monday 30 March 2026 at the Bank Group headquarters in Abidjan. The report underscores that Africa outpaced the global average in 2025 as real GDP surged to 4.2 percent, up from 3.1 per cent in 2024, comfortably eclipsing the 3.1 per cent world average.

A key finding in the report is the “broad-based” surge, with growth exceeding 5 per cent in 22 African countries, and topping 7 per cent in six, bolstered by easing inflationary pressures, improved macroeconomic management and favourable agricultural conditions. In his high-level remarks at the launch, the President of the African Development Bank Group, Dr Sidi Ould Tah, underscored that the continent faces an “important moment when the world is changing, not always in favour of the African continent.” Citing a difficult landscape of increasing geopolitical fragmentation, trade tensions, and declining global development finance flows, Dr Ould Tah positioned the Bank Group’s Four Cardinal Points agenda as a vital strategic shield, explaining that “each one speaks directly to the challenges this Macro Economic Outlook report has identified and quantified.” In light of recent developments in the Middle East, Dr Ould Tah noted that the 2026 MEO analysis and projections “were prepared before the current crisis” began. He added that the Bank Group and partners, including the United Nations Development Programme are currently assessing the potential consequences of the crisis on the continent.

In his detailed presentation, the Bank Group Chief Economist and Vice President for Economic Governance and Knowledge Management, Prof Kevin Urama, expressed optimism that the current crisis would have a limited impact on Africa’s macroeconomic landscape in 2026. “Africa has held strong in previous shocks, and has the capacity to bounce back after, provided we do not panic and we instead apply the right policy levers,” he said. “In our estimates, if the crisis lasts beyond three months, it might cause a dip of 0.2 percentage point in Africa’s economic growth rate in 2026.” An expert-led panel followed the presentation and explored the report’s findings and policy recommendations aimed at sustaining growth, strengthening financial systems, and mobilising development finance at scale.

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Panellists included Souleymane Diarrassouba, the Minister of Planning and Development of Côte d’Ivoire; Augustine Kpehe Ngafuan, Minister of Finance and Development Planning of Liberia; Prof Mthuli Ncube, Minister of Finance of Zimbabwe; Dr Retselisitsoe Matlanyane, Minister of Finance and Development Planning of Lesotho; and Mrs Aminata Toure, the International Monetary Fund Resident Representative for Côte d’Ivoire. The panelists emphasised the importance of sustaining reforms linked to domestic resource mobilisation, including deepening local equity and fixed-income markets, and scaling digitalisation efforts to improve the efficiency of tax collection. They also shared success stories from ongoing reforms in their respective countries.

A consensus emerged that Africa’s experiences with shocks can position the continent to draw on valuable lessons to weather current and future challenges. The African Development Bank Group publishes the Macroeconomic Report biannually to complement its annual Africa Economic Outlook. Dr Ould Tah described the series as a demonstration of “the Bank’s commitment to provide our member countries, our partners and our investors with the most rigorous, timely and actionable analysis.”

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